FAQ = Frequently Asked Questions
Over the years we've answered many of the same questions over and
over, and received numerous death threats for the exact same offenses,
so before you blow a gasket, count to ten and read.
Rankings & Markings
How are the bull rankings done?
The bull rankings are based on the average marking for each bull
over the course of his entire career that we know of. In most cases,
a bull will have been looked at and marked by a variety of judges.
A bull cannot get into the ranked group unless he has been marked
by judges on at least 5 different outs. You'll notice that some
bulls have many more outs than that. Each out represents an opinion
by two or four judges depending on the venue. The "ranked group"
is the top 1750 eligible bulls in our database at any given time.
Rankings are updated almost daily.
What do you mean by average marking?
For each typical out, a bull receives TWO markings from the judges.
If there were 4 judges involved in the scoring, for example, and
they were all using half points, we break this into two markings
using quarter points - which is mathematically the same. Most times
there are two judges and most events use half points. Some events
use only whole points, but typically the judges will still mark
bulls with half points on buckoffs, so we use that method. So for
each out a bull has that resulted in some sort of marking by the
judges, he would have two markings in our database. To arrive at
the average marking for a bull, we COUNT how many outs in which
the bull was marked, and then SUM the markings, DIVIDE that by the
COUNT and DIVIDE the result by 2. We end up with a figure between
0 and 25 points for each bull. The PBR's rating system doesn't usually
take the last step of dividing by two, so their rating or what have
you - is based on a 0-50 scale. You can simply multiply our average
marking by two to arrive at that figure.
What about plus marks?
Sometimes judges will mark a bull something like 21+ or 20.5+.
We just ignore this. When probullstats first started, we used to
record plus marks as half points - mainly because the PRCA doesn't
use half points, but now most judges will mark half points rather
than plus marks - or use both. The PBR judges use plus marks sometimes,
and if I were to interpret them as extra points, I would be down
to using 1/8 points - since the PBR judging system can already result
in quarter points awarded. So in the interest of being fair, plus
marks are now meaningless here.
Are the markings/rankings accurate? or... Is the highest
ranked bull the rankest bull?
Probably they are not exact. But the bull with the highest average
marking is absolutely the highest MARKED bull. So the rankings show
exactly which bulls the judges like best. If you are one of these
people who believe that all the judges are imbeciles, or that some
of the judges are imbeciles, then you should not expect our rankings
to be absolutely accurate. NEW bulls coming into the ranked group
with only a few outs tend to rank incorrectly. Some come in way
high, and some low. Over time they will settle into a groove and
fluctuate less. If you look at the rankings by year, though, each
year the highest ranked bulls here have won the various year end
awards, so in general, the rankings are pretty telling.
There's also a natural fluctuation in exactly how high a bull is
marked at one event or another or by one particular judge or another.
A common misconception is that they mark higher at PBR events or
they mark higher at PRCA events or whatever. It's not entirely true.
It varies more from one event to another than it does from one organization
to another. It really has more to do with where the judges start
out on their markings for a given event than it does what organization
sanctions the event in question. If they start high, they are going
to stay high the whole event to stay fair. There is some statistical
evidence to suggest that bulls get marked somewhat higher in a final
round or "short go" - but not by as much as you would
think. Most of the extreme high or low marks come from the PRCA
- particularly on the high side. At most of the stand alone bull
riding events, they use 4 judges or half points or both, which tends
to quash the markings into a narrower range away from either end
of the spectrum.
Judges tend to see bulls differently too. Some judges tend to mark
certain types of bulls slightly higher or lower than others based
on their pattern or whatever. You may not think this SHOULD happen,
but it is what it is. Sometimes Big Eliminator types get a lot of
point love from some judges, and sometimes they get docked. It happens.
Based on the sheets alone, I can tell you that there is some flaky
judging going on here and there. When a bull is marked something
like 23-18 it doesn't necessarily mean that he was really a 20.5
point bull. It's actually impossible to tell what he was, really,
but you can say that it's pretty likely that one of those judges
(or both) was off. There have been events where one side marked
everything near about the same and the other side saw more variation.
Which side was right? It's hard to say. Judging is not a piece of
cake, so you shouldn't expect it to be idiot-proof. Sometimes it
looks like ex-bullriders tend to favor bulls that they would have
liked to get on, but that's hard to verify.
Overall, the standard deviation in bull scores usually runs about
half of the standard deviation in overall ride scores, so that suggests
that the bull accounts for half of what makes one ride score more
than another. That is exactly the way it should be according to
the rule books.
What About Judging?
I've probably looked at more judges sheets than anyone alive, and
my opinion is that there IS bad judging out there, but it is not
widespread, and it is not the result of any conspiracy (unless it's
weirder than I can imagine). I hesitate to call it bad even, since
I can't usually see the event independently. I can't tell whether
it was bad or not. There are obvious cases where the markings are
so different that one of them must have been hallucinating. So what
I tend to notice is flaky judging - the two judges are far apart,
or one of them thinks every other bull is a 24. Times are way off
from each other, etc... Flaky judging occurs more often with guys
who don't judge much. No matter how qualified they are, if they
haven't judged in a while, they will be a bit flaky for one event.
Including me. One could make a case for flaky judging from guys
who judge too much, maybe - burnout. There are some judges who seem
not to care much - maybe there just to get a paycheck.
In general, good judging is consistent judging, and will usually
be pretty consistent across events even. Take a bull that is marked
21.5 somewhere else, and let him have the same trip, and maybe a
flaky judge will mark him 23.5 - while consistent judging will have
him closer to the same both places. As a rule, the PBR has the most
consistent judging, and even more so at the BFTS level. And BFTS
events are difficult to judge. They tend to have guys that are competent,
know what they are looking at, judge often enough so that they stay
in practice... and usually not flaky. When flaky judging does occur
in the PBR, it's usually at the low level events, and involves someone
who IS qualified but hasn't judged much, or hasn't judged much lately.
More of the spread is used at PBR events as well. Elsewhere it's
hit or miss as to whether you will get a flaky one or more likely,
an apathetic one.
Some examples of flaky judging that I've seen include but are not
limited to....
- A guy who no doubt knows bulls but doesn't judge much marks
about 85% of the bulls at a major event 21.5 points, while his
counterpart is all over the spread. Almost like... not judging.
- One guy tends to seriously dock bulls that don't spin, and seriously
overvalues bulls that do.
- Various isolated cases of guys obviously lowering or raising
markings slightly depending on how long they got to see the bull.
- The strange case of 4 very competent judges who thought Just
A Dream belonged in a tie for 29th best bull in the round when
he chili whopped Cody Whitney in Charleston '06. Actually I'm
just kidding - that one is a matter of opinion, and my opinion
of him was higher than that. Fortunately, those guys are judging
instead of me. But I'd guess Whitney could think of a hundred
21.125 point bulls he'd rather get on again than that particular
one.
On the subject of using 4-6 or more judges: In my opinion having
more competent judges is more important than having more judges.
More judges increase the probability of having less competent ones,
and mixing in less competent ones in the mix increases the chances
of getting something wrong.
If there is any favoritism going on, it is almost certainly at
a subconcious level.
What is an Eliminator?
There's no use trying to explain this one. It means something different
to everyone, and therefore it's so ambigous that it spawns confusion
everywhere it's used. If you hear it come out of my mouth, I mean
a bull that has a serious lack of rhythym or some other gimmick
that makes him difficult to ride. Lack of rhythym is the big factor.
I think there are eliminators that really buck, and more of them
that DON'T. A bull that covers 30 feet in two lunges and then turns
back on a dime without much kick might seem like an eliminator to
me.. or one who jumps six feet high and goes belly up every other
jump - never settles into a groove. Other people have their own
ideas. My opinion is only my opinion and I am not one of the main
SOBs (Swamis of Bullriding). More on my opinion later.
I use something I call Power
Rating to differentiate between high marked bulls that don't
seem to be capable of throwing guys off, and high marked bulls that
DO seem to be difficult to ride.
What do the judges sheet comments mean?
Explanations here
Other Stuff
Why do you have this bull listed
as belonging to X when he really belongs to Y?
Because it's impossible to tell who owns what exactly from the
judges sheets. Some bulls show up under a different owner at almost
every event. People change names and brands. It's a pain in the
butt to keep up with. Whatever I show is based on whatever the latest
evidence suggested. Many people email or drop a note to straighten
me out on ownership issues, and it's very helpful, so feel free
to do so. Don't be offended if I don't believe it or act immediately
- I take everything with a grain of salt.
As a rule, I will list bulls under the contractor and not a partner
or partnership. Partners will show up on the bull's profile... example:
THIS BULL is listed
under contractor BGR (Berger Bucking Bulls) with a partner - Dakota
Cattle Co. A partner's name won't show up on the bull's profile
until the bull has at least 5 marked outs.
If the sheets say a bull belongs to X, and I don't have a clue
who X is or where they are from etc... usually I will put the bull
in as UNknown (UN) and show X as a partner. If I ever find out anything
about X, then I may end up adding them as a contractor at a later
date.
Often people will drop me a line and say bull Y belongs to X. Again
- if I don't know who in the world X is, the bull will be listed
as UN till I do.
My main concern is always to keep each bull's records together
no matter who owns him, whether he gets sold from one to another,
or whatever. Having the ownership listed properly is not always
top priority here. As a courtesy, I do try to keep the ownership
correct so far as it can be based on the evidence I have. I am not
notified every time a bucking bull changes hands in America, so
I am usually behind on ownership changes. I am usually not going
to investigate ownership issues on bulls that have less than 5 marked
outs. Don't be offended by it.
Why is this bull listed as belonging to me when I sold
him, etc...
In a nutshell, because I didn't know you sold him. If you sell
a bull to someone else who is going to haul him at the professional
level, then I haven't seem him show up in that person's herd yet.
That's the sort of thing I would like to know. Particularly if you
sold him to someone who is going to change his name or brand in
an attempt to cover up his past misdeeds. If you sold him to the
sale barn or the packing plant, then after some time his status
will change to inactive (18 months or so with no recorded outs).
If that is the case, he will stay listed as yours forever, he will
just show up as inactive or dead - because you were the last known
owner to haul him anywhere.
My bull was marked unfairly at X event. Why does it have
to go on his record?
There are many outs that are marked unfairly. If I learn that any
particular out meets my definition of unfair markings, then I scratch
the markings and the out shows as unmarked, which doesn't detract
from a bull's record. My idea of unfair markings include the following
scenarios:
Some rerides: If a bull is marked poorly on an
out that resulted in a RR because the bull fouled the rider, or
fell or lost a flank, I scratch the markings because those things
aren't really the bull's fault.
Obviously moronic judging: This has really only
happened once or twice. Once I remember a Judge marked Beutler's
744 High Tide about 12 points or something because he bucked the
guy off in half a second. The other judge marked 23. I scratched
it and reported the moronic judge to the proper authorities who
I assume took away his crayon.
Why don't you have the results
for event X posted?
I receive the sheets for all PBR and PRCA events, and most CBR
events (I think). The PBR sheets usually come in about a week after
the event; the PRCA usually about 2 weeks or more after. CBR sheets
- occasionally.
I try to process events in order of their importance. High profile
events featuring more than one herd of bulls are on the top of the
priority list. Any event with the top bulls and/or the top riders
is also high priority. Small rodeos with nothing but duds or mediocre
bulls that we have already seen a lot of outs for - are at the bottom
of the list. Events that feature a lot of new bulls take longer
to process. Events where there was evidentally a lot of brand/name
switching, or the sheets are unclear get put on the back burner.
Any event where the judges didn't mark bull scores on buckoffs usually
goes in the round file. Events that obviously have very flaky judging
- same deal.
I am usually asked this by contractors who are interested in seeing
their bulls stats, so, in a nutshell, there are several reasons
why your sheets may not get processed as quickly as others, most
likely one of these:
- You frequently change names/brands of your bulls.
- You use other people's bulls and list them incorrectly or as
your own, or change the names/brands to cover it up.
- You buy bulls that are already listed on PBS, and then change
the names or brands.
- You seem to have an entire herd of new, never before seen bulls
at each event.
- The majority of your bulls at event X are weak.
- You don't turn in bull names.
- You employ people who choose to handwrite (illegibly) every
thing on every judge's sheet.
- You drew apathetic judges who didn't mark any of the outs.
All of the above make the sheets more time consuming to process.
Also, I assume if you are always changing bull names or brands,
that there can be only one reason for doing so: You don't want your
bull's stats revealed for whatever reason- which is fine by me.
To every contractor that asks me about this I say the same thing....
Little Yellow Jacket NEVER got turned in with a different name or
brand #. Never.
I don't check the various organization's schedules to see if I
got the sheets for everything or not, so if they don't send it,
it won't usually get processed unless someone asks me about it.
There are always going to be some events that don't make it into
this data at all. My goal is to try to process at least 25,000 outs
per year, and try for 30,000. 25K outs in a year is a very healthy
sample of what's going on at the pro level.
Who the $%&$* are you to say _____ ?
We occasionally get hate mail based on some comment on the site.
My name is Slade Long. I'm not an official SOB (Swami of Bull Riding),
but due to a strange twist of fate, I run this site, and am responsible
for most of its content (If you feel that you could do a better
job of it, or represent the sport more fairly than I do - please
contact me immediately!). Anyone can add notes to bull profiles,
and those notes reflect the opinions of their authors. Forum posts
- same thing. But, most of the articles/notes/comments on this site
were written by either myself or former PRCA bull riding director
Bryan McDonald. Bryan is no longer involved with bull riding, and
has not contributed to the site since early 2005, but if you wish
to cuss him out anyhow, I'm sure he would be more than happy to
hear from you. Just send email to bryan at probullstats.com and
it will be duly forwarded to him. Likewise, if you wish to cuss
me out, my email address and phone number is on the contacts
page. Be aware that I have already been cussed out by the Dalai
Lama, the Pope, and some regular SOBs (Swamis of Bullriding), so
I am probably already familiar with many of the cuss words you know,
and have already seen them in all caps before.
As for my qualifications, I rode bulls in the PRCA and elsewhere,
and so have been around and have many friends around the business.
I was not particularly talented at bull riding, and never won any
world championships, but did have some success and it did provide
me with pocket money and (occasionally) hospital bills. I have bet
my truck note and won, been on some of the rankest bulls of my time,
and have undergone various surgical procedures. I once waved at
Donny Gay from the back of a dink. I've slept in the trunk of a
car, at 38 different Interstate rest areas, underneath travel trailers,
in horse stalls, on the floor of a barroom, and... while driving.
So I know something about bull riding - but not everything.
Since we started this site in 1999 I have studied the sheets from
over (I'm guessing) 3000 bull riding events, and probably looked
closely at around 150,000 outs. I don't have any agenda. I have
always loved bull riding and love to see its successes, and it hurts
me to see its setbacks. I use the comment blocks on the sheets to
point out things which stand out to me - such as when
one judge marks a bull 20 and the other judge marks him 5. I
do not mean to offend anyone, but the rodeo biz seems to have its
share of thin-skinned people, so it's impossible to avoid. If you
are one of the offended people, you can turn your caps lock on and
cuss me all you want. Just be aware that it doesn't bother me much.
I've stated this many times, and I will say it again here: If you
take exception to something that I or anyone else has said on this
site, I'll be more than happy to allow you space to publish your
views (expletives deleted) on our front page - just say the word
and it's done. It's been my experience that no one ever takes me
up on this, and the screaming, cussing mad people usually prefer
to holler and hide. That's ok too. No one in this sport is an oracle
or prophet or saint or infallible. It's run by people just like
you and me.
More to come as needed!
Slade Long - probullstats.com 2006
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